Science Explorer Back to mapMap

Most cited papers in Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting

Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting

What are the most cited papers in Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting?

The most cited paper in Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting is "Absorptive Capacity: A New Perspective on Learning and Innovation" (Wesley M. Cohen, Daniel A. Levinthal, 1990), with 35,497 citations. Next come "Consumer Acceptance and Use of Information Technology: Extending the Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology1" (15,587) and "Development of an Instrument to Measure the Perceptions of Adopting an Information Technology Innovation" (9,182).

Showing 50 of 99 papers. Every paper with more than 1,177 citations is listed.

Most cited papers, sortable by citations and release date
#Paper
1 Absorptive Capacity: A New Perspective on Learning and Innovation Wesley M. Cohen, Daniel A. Levinthal · Administrative Science Quarterly Mar 1990 35,497
2 Consumer Acceptance and Use of Information Technology: Extending the Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology1 Viswanath Venkatesh, James Y.L. Thong, Xu · MIS Quarterly Mar 2012 15,587
3 Development of an Instrument to Measure the Perceptions of Adopting an Information Technology Innovation Gary C. Moore, Izak Benbasat · Information Systems Research Sep 1991 9,182
4 The Effect of a Market Orientation on Business Profitability John C. Narver, Stanley F. Slater · Journal of Marketing Oct 1990 7,969
5 Competing Technologies, Increasing Returns, and Lock-In by Historical Events W. Brian Arthur · The Economic Journal Mar 1989 7,491
6 Technological transitions as evolutionary reconfiguration processes: a multi-level perspective and a case-study Frank W. Geels · Research Policy Open access Dec 2002 7,168
7 Using PLS path modeling in new technology research: updated guidelines Jörg Henseler, Geoffrey S. Hubona, Pauline Ash Ray · Industrial Management & Data Systems Open access 7 Jan 2016 7,029
8 Core capabilities and core rigidities: A paradox in managing new product development Dorothy Leonard‐Barton · Strategic Management Journal 1992 6,496
9 Open for innovation: the role of openness in explaining innovation performance among U.K. manufacturing firms Keld Laursen, Ammon J. Salter · Strategic Management Journal Open access 21 Nov 2005 6,313
10 A New Product Growth for Model Consumer Durables Frank M. Bass · Management Science 1969 6,047
11 Digital transformation: A multidisciplinary reflection and research agenda Peter C. Verhoef, Thijs Broekhuizen, Yakov Bart et al. · Journal of Business Research Open access 3 Nov 2019 5,424
12 Lead Users: A Source of Novel Product Concepts Eric von Hippel · Management Science Jul 1986 4,673
13 Prior Knowledge and the Discovery of Entrepreneurial Opportunities Scott A. Shane · Organization Science Aug 2000 4,622
14 “Sticky Information” and the Locus of Problem Solving: Implications for Innovation Eric von Hippel · Management Science Open access Apr 1994 3,777
15 Exploration vs. Exploitation: An Empirical Test of the Ambidexterity Hypothesis Zi‐Lin He, Poh-Kam Wong · Organization Science Aug 2004 3,726
16 Information Technology Adoption Across Time: A Cross-Sectional Comparison of Pre-Adoption and Post-Adoption Beliefs1 Elena Karahanna, Detmar W. Straub, Norman L. Chervany · MIS Quarterly Jun 1999 3,699
17 Exploitation, Exploration, and Process Management: The Productivity Dilemma Revisited Mary J. Benner, Michael L. Tushman · Academy of Management Review Apr 2003 3,433
18 Knowledge and the Speed of the Transfer and Imitation of Organizational Capabilities: An Empirical Test Udo Zander, Bruce Kogut · Organization Science Feb 1995 3,286
19 Understanding carbon lock-in Gregory C. Unruh · Energy Policy Oct 2000 3,246
20 Recombinant Uncertainty in Technological Search Lee Fleming · Management Science 2001 2,901
21 General purpose technologies ‘Engines of growth’? Timothy F. Bresnahan, Manuel Trajtenberg · Journal of Econometrics Open access 1995 2,871
22 Innovation in conservative and entrepreneurial firms: Two models of strategic momentum Danny L. Miller, Peter H. Friesen · Strategic Management Journal 1982 2,752
23 Functions of innovation systems: A new approach for analysing technological change Marko P. Hekkert, Roald A.A. Suurs, Simona O. Negro et al. · Technological Forecasting and Social Change Open access 24 Apr 2006 2,744
24 Understanding and Predicting Electronic Commerce Adoption: An Extension of the Theory of Planned Behavior1 Paul A. Pavlou, Mendel Fygenson · MIS Quarterly Mar 2006 2,677
25 A critical look at technological innovation typology and innovativeness terminology: a literature review Raquel Pötter Garcia · Journal of Product Innovation Management Mar 2002 2,674
26 Value creation in innovation ecosystems: how the structure of technological interdependence affects firm performance in new technology generations Ron Adner, Rahul Kapoor · Strategic Management Journal 17 Nov 2009 2,627
27 Complexity: The Emerging Science at the Edge of Order and Chaos M. Mitchell Waldrop, Daniel Stein · Physics Today Dec 1992 2,616
28 In Search of Complementarity in Innovation Strategy: Internal R&D and External Knowledge Acquisition Bruno Cassiman, Reinhilde Veugelers · Management Science 2006 2,521
29 Toward a new economics of science Dasgupta Partha, Paul A. David · Research Policy Sep 1994 2,521
30 Ecosystem as Structure Ron Adner · Journal of Management Open access 23 Nov 2016 2,487
31 Technology acceptance model: a literature review from 1986 to 2013 Nikola Marangunić, Andrina Granić · Universal Access in the Information Society 16 Feb 2014 2,471
32 CB-SEM vs PLS-SEM methods for research in social sciences and technology forecasting Ganesh Dash, Justin Paul · Technological Forecasting and Social Change Open access 9 Aug 2021 2,419
33 Ambidexterity as a dynamic capability: Resolving the innovator's dilemma Charles A. O’Reilly, Michael L. Tushman · Research in Organizational Behavior 2008 2,412
34 Information Technology and Sustained Competitive Advantage: A Resource-Based Analysis Francisco J. Mata, William L. Fuerst, Jay Bryan Barney · MIS Quarterly Open access Dec 1995 2,380
35 What drives mobile commerce? Jen‐Her Wu, Shu-Ching Wang · Information & Management 5 Oct 2004 2,286
36 Strategic Orientation of the Firm and New Product Performance Hubert Gatignon, Jean-Marc Xuereb · Journal of Marketing Research Feb 1997 2,268
37 The governance of sustainable socio-technical transitions Adrian Smith, Andy Stirling, Frans Berkhout · Research Policy Open access 20 Oct 2005 2,239
38 New Product Diffusion Models in Marketing: A Review and Directions for Research Vijay Mahajan, Eitan Muller, Frank M. Bass Book chapter 1991 2,121
39 A general theory of bibliometric and other cumulative advantage processes Derek de Solla Price · Journal of the American Society for Information Science Sep 1976 2,088
40 Talk of the Network: A Complex Systems Look at the Underlying Process of Word-of-Mouth Jacob Goldenberg, Barak Libai, Eitan Muller · Marketing Letters Aug 2001 2,021
41 Managerial Fads and Fashions: The Diffusion and Rejection of Innovations Eric John Abrahamson · Academy of Management Review Jul 1991 1,976
42 Fifteen Years of Research on Business Model Innovation Nicolai J. Foss, Tina Saebi · Journal of Management Open access 23 Nov 2016 1,896
43 Open innovation: State of the art and future perspectives K.R.E. Huizingh · Technovation Open access 13 Nov 2010 1,891
44 Bridging differing perspectives on technological platforms: Toward an integrative framework Annabelle Gawer · Research Policy Open access 2 May 2014 1,850
45 Graphical Models, Exponential Families, and Variational Inference Martin J. Wainwright, Michael I. Jordan · Foundations and Trends® in Machine Learning 18 Dec 2008 1,824
46 Barriers to widespread adoption of electric vehicles: An analysis of consumer attitudes and perceptions Ona Egbue, Suzanna K. Long · Energy Policy 27 Jun 2012 1,792
47 The Effects of Strategic Orientations on Technology- and Market-Based Breakthrough Innovations Kevin Zheng Zhou, Chi Kin Yim, David K. Tse · Journal of Marketing 16 Mar 2005 1,779
48 The Resurgence of Growth in the Late 1990s: Is Information Technology the Story? Stephen D. Oliner, Daniel E. Sichel · The Journal of Economic Perspectives Open access Nov 2000 1,759
49 A critical look at technological innovation typology and innovativeness terminology: a literature review Rosanna Garcia, Roger J. Calantone · Journal of Product Innovation Management Mar 2002 1,746
50 Post-Adoption Variations in Usage and Value of E-Business by Organizations: Cross-Country Evidence from the Retail Industry Kevin Xiaoguo Zhu, Kenneth L. Kraemer · Information Systems Research Open access Mar 2005 1,721

Citations are OpenAlex's own counts, from its 2026-09-23 snapshot, so the ranking can differ from Google Scholar or Web of Science. A paper is listed for a field when OpenAlex files it under one of the field's topics; retracted papers and papers whose citation count cannot be traced to citing works are left out, and a preprint and the article it became are shown once. Release dates are OpenAlex's: where a source gave only a month or a year, that is what is shown. How the lists are chosen.