Science Explorer Interactive view Map
Subfield · Decision Sciences

Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty research

Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty is a subfield of Decision Sciences. Science Explorer counts 207k research works in it since 1950. 20.6% of them reached the world's top 10% most cited for their field and year.

In short: study of the collection, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of data.

Research works
207k
fractional, since 1950
In the world top 10%
43k
per year above
Top-10% rate
20.6%
share of its works in the world top 10%
Topics
9
Growth, 2013–17 → 2018–22
+18%
the tick is no change

What is Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty research about, and what is growing?

By the world's output in 2019–23, its most used keywords are Bayesian Networks, Fault Tree Analysis, Reliability Analysis, Sensitivity Analysis, Uncertainty Quantification, Quality Assurance. Gaining share since 2009–13: Convenience Sampling, Purposive Sampling, Regression Analysis, Statistical Analysis, Bibliometric Analysis. Losing share: Measurement Uncertainty, Redefinition of SI Units, Quality Assurance, Healthcare Improvement.

▲ gaining share of this field◆ holding its share▼ losing share

Size is the world's fractional works in 2019–23 in the topics tagged with each word; colour compares the word's share of this field with 2009–13. Each links to the topic it comes from most.

All 20 words, with their numbers
  1. Bayesian Networks12k◆ 1.00×1 topic
  2. Fault Tree Analysis12k◆ 1.00×1 topic
  3. Reliability Analysis11k◆ 1.00×2 topics
  4. Sensitivity Analysis10k◆ 1.01×1 topic
  5. Uncertainty Quantification10k◆ 1.01×1 topic
  6. Quality Assurance6,650▼ 0.73×2 topics
  7. Meta-Analysis6,274◆ 1.15×1 topic
  8. PRISMA Statement6,274◆ 1.15×1 topic
  9. Bibliometric Analysis6,136▲ 1.18×1 topic
  10. Research Evaluation6,136▲ 1.18×1 topic
  11. Healthcare Improvement3,553▼ 0.76×1 topic
  12. Statistical Process Control3,553▼ 0.76×1 topic
  13. Measurement Uncertainty3,096▼ 0.69×1 topic
  14. Redefinition of SI Units3,096▼ 0.69×1 topic
  15. Inter-Rater Reliability1,121◆ 0.93×1 topic
  16. Kappa Statistic1,121◆ 0.93×1 topic
  17. Regression Analysis937▲ 1.97×1 topic
  18. Statistical Analysis937▲ 1.97×1 topic
  19. Convenience Sampling267▲ 15×1 topic
  20. Purposive Sampling267▲ 15×1 topic

Which countries lead Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty research?

On research quality in 2022–2025, China, the United States and the United Kingdom rank highest in Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty. By volume, China and the United States publish the most (6.9k and 6.2k works in 2022–2025).

By research quality, 2022–2025

  1. 1 China · #3 all time 26.0% top 10% · 6.9k works
  2. 2 United States · #1 all time 17.9% top 10% · 6.2k works
  3. 3 United Kingdom · #2 all time 23.5% top 10% · 1.7k works
  4. 4 Canada · #4 all time 23.8% top 10% · 957 works
  5. 5 Germany · #5 all time 20.1% top 10% · 1.5k works
  6. 6 Australia · #7 all time 29.0% top 10% · 652 works
  7. 7 Italy · #9 all time 21.7% top 10% · 937 works
  8. 8 Netherlands · #6 all time 26.6% top 10% · 509 works
  9. 9 India · #13 all time 12.7% top 10% · 1.8k works
  10. 10 France · #8 all time 15.9% top 10% · 960 works

The track on each row is that row’s top-10% rate. The ranking itself is the composite score, which the rate is only one part of.

Of 31 countries ranked in Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty. Composite of field-normalised excellence (50%), output (30%) and citations (20%); the bracket is the all-time rank.

All countries ranked in Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty

By volume, 2022–2025

  1. 1 China 6.9k works
  2. 2 United States 6.2k works
  3. 3 India 1.8k works
  4. 4 United Kingdom 1.7k works
  5. 5 Germany 1.5k works
  6. 6 Indonesia 1.3k works
  7. 7 France 960 works
  8. 8 Canada 957 works
  9. 9 Italy 937 works
  10. 10 Türkiye 904 works

How concentrated that is

The same countries as shares of everything the list above accounts for. A node where two countries do two thirds of the work and one spread evenly across twelve read alike as a ranking and not at all alike here.

China: 29.7%United States: 26.7%India: 7.8%United Kingdom: 7.3%6 others listed: 28.5%30%largest
China6,917 · 29.7%United States6,214 · 26.7%India1,823 · 7.8%United Kingdom1,707 · 7.3%6 others listed6,628 · 28.5%

Shares of the rows listed above, not of the whole node.

Which institutions lead Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty research?

Beihang University (China) ranks first in Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty on research quality in 2022–2025, followed by Beijing Institute of Technology and China University of Mining and Technology.

By research quality, 2022–2025

  1. 1 Beihang University China · Beijing · #26 all time 29.9% top 10% · 182 works
  2. 2 Beijing Institute of Technology China · Beijing · #9 all time 44.3% top 10% · 80 works
  3. 3 China University of Mining and Technology China · Xuzhou · #33 all time 50.2% top 10% · 67 works
  4. 4 Northwestern Polytechnical University China · Xi'an · #20 all time 33.7% top 10% · 195 works
  5. 5 Dalian University of Technology China · Dalian · #53 all time 37.9% top 10% · 100 works
  6. 6 Tsinghua University China · Beijing · #27 all time 29.4% top 10% · 123 works
  7. 7 Tongji University China · Shanghai · #83 all time 39.3% top 10% · 99 works
  8. 8 Xi'an Jiaotong University China · Xi'an · #72 all time 33.9% top 10% · 95 works
  9. 9 Shanghai Jiao Tong University China · Shanghai · #70 all time 25.0% top 10% · 99 works
  10. 10 Nanjing University of Science and Technology China · Nanjing 36.2% top 10% · 63 works

The track on each row is that row’s top-10% rate. The ranking itself is the composite score, which the rate is only one part of.

Of 34 institutions above the floor of 40 fractional works in Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty.

Top 100 Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty institutions

By volume, 2022–2025

  1. 1 Northwestern Polytechnical UniversityChina 195 works
  2. 2 Beihang UniversityChina 182 works
  3. 3 Tsinghua UniversityChina 123 works
  4. 4 Dalian University of TechnologyChina 100 works
  5. 5 Shanghai Jiao Tong UniversityChina 99 works
  6. 6 Tongji UniversityChina 99 works
  7. 7 Nanjing University of Aeronautics and AstronauticsChina 98 works
  8. 8 Xi'an Jiaotong UniversityChina 95 works
  9. 9 Beijing Institute of TechnologyChina 80 works
  10. 10 University of MichiganUnited States 76 works

Who are the leading researchers in Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty?

Among the most productive authors in Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty, David Moher, Roger Chou and John P. A. Ioannidis rank highest on the composite score.

  1. 1 David Moher Canada · #1 worldwide 38k citations · 235 works
  2. 2 Roger Chou United States · #6 worldwide 14k citations · 187 works
  3. 3 John P. A. Ioannidis United States · #10 worldwide 8k citations · 222 works
  4. 4 Gordon Guyatt Canada · #11 worldwide 6.8k citations · 254 works
  5. 5 Aziz Sheikh United Kingdom · #17 worldwide 5.8k citations · 274 works
  6. 6 James Thomas United Kingdom · #27 worldwide 13k citations · 154 works
  7. 7 Robert Tibshirani United States · #38 worldwide 13k citations · 155 works
  8. 8 Patrick M. Bossuyt Netherlands · #59 worldwide 14k citations · 137 works
  9. 9 Jeremy Grimshaw Canada · #68 worldwide 14k citations · 133 works
  10. 10 Lisa Hartling Canada · #92 worldwide 5k citations · 144 works

Re-ranked on the composite score from the 4,639 highest-output authors in Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty. Identities come from OpenAlex author disambiguation, which occasionally merges or splits people.

Top 100 Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty researchers

Where is Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty research done?

The largest centres of Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty research in 2022–2025 are Beijing (China), Shanghai (China), Xi'an (China) and London (United Kingdom). Among places with at least 20 works in it, it is an unusually large share of all research in Petroşani and Idaho Falls.

Largest cities, 2022–2025

  1. 1 Beijing China 1.5k works
  2. 2 Shanghai China 572 works
  3. 3 Xi'an China 517 works
  4. 4 London United Kingdom 445 works
  5. 5 Nanjing China 436 works
  6. 6 Moscow Russia 324 works
  7. 7 Paris France 301 works
  8. 8 Wuhan China 292 works
  9. 9 Tehran Iran 280 works
  10. 10 Tokyo Japan 266 works

Where it is the local speciality

  1. PetroşaniRO · 35.1 works33×
  2. Idaho FallsUS · 52.8 works12×
← less than its size predicts1×more →

Location quotient: how much more of its research is in Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty than the world average.

See Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty on the map

Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty research by country

The best places for Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty research inside each country, with that country's researchers and world standing.

Where is the best place to study Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty?

Among universities, judged by research, King Mongkut's University of Technology North Bangkok, Northwestern Polytechnical University and Beihang University score highest, combining excellence, specialisation, size, growth and international reach. Research strength is one signal when choosing where to study; it does not measure teaching.

0%20%40%60%mean 35.22%fractional works in this node (log) →share in the world top 10% →King Mongkut's University of Technology North Bangkok: 51, 9.8%Northwestern Polytechnical University: 195, 33.7%Beihang University: 182, 29.9%Norwegian University of Science and Technology: 68, 33.8%Hong Kong Polytechnic University: 52, 45.2%Leibniz University Hannover: 41, 33.0%King Abdulaziz University: 46, 25.7%China University of Mining and Technology: 67, 50.2%Beijing Institute of Petrochemical Technology: 17, 55.1%COMSATS University Islamabad: 20, 35.8%Norwegian University…Northwestern Polytec…Beihang UniversityKing Mongkut's Unive…
above the meannear itbelow it

One dot per university in the table below. The upper left is the interesting corner: small places doing unusually strong work.

#UniversityScoreTop 10%SpecialisationWorksGrowth
1 King Mongkut's University of Technology North BangkokThailand 56.39.8%11.4×51 +192.7%
2 Northwestern Polytechnical UniversityChina 53.633.7%4.9×195 +15.8%
3 Beihang UniversityChina 51.829.9%4.7×182 +37.2%
4 Norwegian University of Science and TechnologyNorway 48.533.8%3.6×68 +67.0%
5 Hong Kong Polytechnic UniversityHong Kong 48.145.2%1.7×52 +37.3%
6 Leibniz University HannoverGermany 47.433.0%4.1×41 +141.1%
7 King Abdulaziz UniversitySaudi Arabia 47.025.7%2.4×46 +397.0%
8 China University of Mining and TechnologyChina 45.750.2%2.5×67 +7.5%
9 Beijing Institute of Petrochemical TechnologyChina 45.755.1%6.6×17 -19.7%
10 COMSATS University IslamabadPakistan 45.435.8%2.4×20 +175.7%

Universities only. Score blends excellence (30%), specialisation (25%), size (20%), growth (15%) and international reach (10%), 2015–2022; growth compares 2010–14 with 2015–19.

Is Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty research growing?

Output in 2018–2022 was 18% higher than in 2013–2017, peaking in 2025. The fastest-growing topics are Innovative Education Methods and Tools, Multidisciplinary Science and Engineering Research and scientometrics and bibliometrics research.

19801990200020102020
grewheldshrank

The same series as a ribbon — one cell per year, darker for more. The line above answers how much; this answers when.

Which topics inside it are moving

Growth and decline on one axis around a shared zero. Two lists side by side hide the thing that matters: whether the growth dwarfs the decline, or the other way round.

  1. Innovative Education Methods and Tools+790%
  2. Multidisciplinary Science and Engineering Research+197%
  3. scientometrics and bibliometrics research+136%
  4. Meta-analysis and systematic reviews+104%
  5. Risk and Safety Analysis+84%
  6. Probabilistic and Robust Engineering Design+73%
← shrinkingno changegrowing →

Growth in output from 2005–09 to 2015–19. Every topic is a page of its own.

What does Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty include?

Risk and Safety Analysis51kRisk and Safety Analysis: 51k fractional worksProbabilistic and Robust…47kProbabilistic and Robust Engineering Design: 47k fractional worksMeta-analysis and systematic reviews: 26k fractional worksScientific Measurement a…25kScientific Measurement and Uncertainty Evaluation: 25k fractional worksscientometrics and bibli…24kscientometrics and bibliometrics research: 24k fractional worksAdvanced Statistical Process Monitoring: 21k fractional worksReliability and Agreement in Measurement: 6,296 fractional worksMultidisciplinary Science and Engineering Research: 3,489 fractional worksInnovative Education Methods and Tools: 1,772 fractional works

Area is fractional works in that topic. Every name below is a page of its own.