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Census and Population Estimation

Census and Population Estimation is a research topic within Statistics and Probability. Science Explorer counts 5.5k research works in it since 1950. 10.2% of them reached the world's top 10% most cited for their field and year.

This cluster of papers focuses on the application of capture-recapture models to estimate population size, particularly in the context of heterogeneous detection probabilities, mixture models, Bayesian analysis, and covariate adjustment. It also addresses the challenges of estimating population size for hidden and elusive populations using multiple systems estimation and dealing with incomplete data.

  • Capture-Recapture
  • Population Size Estimation
  • Heterogeneous Detection Probabilities
  • Mixture Models
  • Bayesian Analysis
  • Species Richness Estimation
  • Covariate Adjustment
  • Hidden and Elusive Populations
  • Multiple Systems Estimation
  • Incomplete Data
Research works
5.5k
fractional, since 1950
In the world top 10%
563
per year above
Top-10% rate
10.2%
share of its works in the world top 10%
Growth, 2018-21 → 2022-25
+9%
the tick is no change
Largest producer
United States
44% of the 10 largest, 2022-now

Which countries lead Census and Population Estimation research?

By volume, the United States and the United Kingdom publish the most (229 and 80 works in 2022-now).

By volume, 2022-now

  1. 1 United States 229 works
  2. 2 United Kingdom 80 works
  3. 3 India 38 works
  4. 4 Canada 37 works
  5. 5 France 33 works
  6. 6 Italy 31 works
  7. 7 Australia 28 works
  8. 8 Germany 16 works
  9. 9 China 16 works
  10. 10 Brazil 15 works

How concentrated that is

The same countries as shares of everything the list above accounts for. A node where two countries do two thirds of the work and one spread evenly across twelve read alike as a ranking and not at all alike here.

United States: 43.7%United Kingdom: 15.3%India: 7.2%Canada: 7.1%6 others listed: 26.7%44%largest
United States229 · 43.7%United Kingdom80 · 15.3%India38 · 7.2%Canada37 · 7.1%6 others listed140 · 26.7%

Shares of the rows listed above, not of the whole node.

Which institutions lead Census and Population Estimation research?

By volume in 2022-now, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique publishes the most Census and Population Estimation research, followed by Istituto Nazionale di Statistica and University of Southampton.

Who are the leading researchers in Census and Population Estimation?

The most-cited researchers publishing on Census and Population Estimation include Christopher J L Murray, Hermann Brenner and Donald B. Rubin.

  1. 1 Christopher J L Murray United States 583k citations
  2. 2 Hermann Brenner Germany 343k citations
  3. 3 Donald B. Rubin United States 301k citations
  4. 4 Farshad Farzadfar Iran 298k citations
  5. 5 Rakhi Dandona United States 280k citations
  6. 6 Martin McKee United Kingdom 270k citations
  7. 7 Louisa J Degenhardt Australia 269k citations
  8. 8 Lalit Dandona United States 268k citations

Ranked by citations received across their whole record, among researchers with at least three works on this topic.

What are the most cited papers in Census and Population Estimation?

The most cited paper in Census and Population Estimation is "Program MARK: survival estimation from populations of marked animals" (Gary C. White, Kenneth P. Burnham, 1999), with 7,622 citations. Next come "FOUNDATIONS OF STATISTICS" (6,930) and "The Danish Civil Registration System" (4,720).

Most cited papers
#PaperReleasedCitations
1 Program MARK: survival estimation from populations of marked animals Gary C. White, Kenneth P. Burnham · Bird Study Open access 1999 7,622
2 FOUNDATIONS OF STATISTICS Norman H. Anderson · Psychology Press eBooks Book chapter Jul 2001 6,930
3 The Danish Civil Registration System Carsten Bøcker Pedersen · Scandinavian Journal of Public Health Jul 2011 4,720
4 Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (B) Robert A. Fildes · International Journal of Forecasting Dec 1993 3,455
5 Estimating the Population Size for Capture-Recapture Data with Unequal Catchability Anne Chao · Biometrics Dec 1987 2,514
All 100 most cited papers, with filters and sorting

Where is Census and Population Estimation research done?

The largest centres of Census and Population Estimation research in 2022-now are London (United Kingdom), Rome (Italy), New York (United States) and Washington D.C. (United States). Among places with at least 20 works in it, it is an unusually large share of all research in London.

Largest cities, 2022-now

  1. 1 LondonUnited Kingdom 22 works
  2. 2 RomeItaly 19 works
  3. 3 New YorkUnited States 17 works
  4. 4 Washington D.C.United States 15 works
  5. 5 ParisFrance 12 works
  6. 6 AtlantaUnited States 8 works
  7. 7 SouthamptonUnited Kingdom 7 works
  8. 8 OsloNorway 7 works
  9. 9 OttawaCanada 7 works
  10. 10 SuitlandUnited States 6 works

Where it is the local speciality

  1. LondonGB · 22.0 works3.3×
← less than its size predicts1×more →

Location quotient: how much more of its research is in Census and Population Estimation than the world average.

See Census and Population Estimation on the map

Is Census and Population Estimation research growing?

Output in 2022-2025 was 9% higher than in 2018-2021, peaking in 2025. The fastest-growing topics are Census and Population Estimation.

still counting19801990200020102020
grewheldshrank

The same series as a ribbon: one cell per year, darker for more. The line above answers how much; this answers when.

Its share of all research

Growing output can still be a shrinking share: all of science grows. This is Census and Population Estimation as a percentage of every work published that year, 0.0031% in 2024.

still counting0.010%0.020%Census and Population Estimation0.0034% in 202519801990200020102020

Fractional works of Census and Population Estimation over all fractional works that year. How the balance of science has shifted.

How much of it reaches the world top 10%

Year by year.

still counting5%10%15%Census and Population Estimation10.6% in 2025200020102020

Of each year's works in it, the share that reached the world's 10% most cited for their field and year. A field is the world for its own topics, so there is no other line to hold it against.

Which topics inside it are moving

Growth and decline on one axis around a shared zero. Two lists side by side hide the thing that matters: whether the growth dwarfs the decline, or the other way round.

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