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Topic · Management Science and Operations Research

Forecasting Techniques and Applications

Forecasting Techniques and Applications is a research topic within Management Science and Operations Research. Science Explorer counts 21k research works in it since 1950. 10.1% of them reached the world's top 10% most cited for their field and year.

This cluster of papers focuses on advances in time series forecasting methods, including topics such as exponential smoothing, machine learning techniques, expert judgment, inventory management, demand forecasting, neural networks, and forecast combination.

  • Forecasting
  • Time Series
  • Exponential Smoothing
  • Machine Learning
  • Expert Judgment
  • Inventory Management
  • Demand Forecasting
  • Neural Networks
  • Prediction Accuracy
  • Forecast Combination
Research works
21k
fractional, since 1950
In the world top 10%
2.1k
per year above
Top-10% rate
10.1%
share of its works in the world top 10%
Growth, 2018-21 → 2022-25
+77%
the tick is no change
Largest producer
China
23% of the 10 largest, 2022-now
Forecasting Techniques and Applications

Which countries lead Forecasting Techniques and Applications research?

By volume, China and India publish the most (1.1k and 1.1k works in 2022-now).

By volume, 2022-now

  1. 1 China 1.1k works
  2. 2 India 1.1k works
  3. 3 United States 918 works
  4. 4 Indonesia 655 works
  5. 5 United Kingdom 237 works
  6. 6 Türkiye 201 works
  7. 7 Germany 183 works
  8. 8 Brazil 129 works
  9. 9 Canada 120 works
  10. 10 Nigeria 114 works

How concentrated that is

The same countries as shares of everything the list above accounts for. A node where two countries do two thirds of the work and one spread evenly across twelve read alike as a ranking and not at all alike here.

China: 23.5%India: 22.7%United States: 19.3%Indonesia: 13.8%6 others listed: 20.7%23%largest
China1,115 · 23.5%India1,077 · 22.7%United States918 · 19.3%Indonesia655 · 13.8%6 others listed983 · 20.7%

Shares of the rows listed above, not of the whole node.

Which institutions lead Forecasting Techniques and Applications research?

By volume in 2022-now, SRM Institute of Science and Technology publishes the most Forecasting Techniques and Applications research, followed by Binus University and Saveetha University.

By volume, 2022-now

  1. 1 SRM Institute of Science and TechnologyIndia 39 works
  2. 2 Binus UniversityIndonesia 37 works
  3. 3 Saveetha UniversityIndia 34 works
  4. 4 Sepuluh Nopember Institute of TechnologyIndonesia 33 works
  5. 5 Chinese Academy of SciencesChina 25 works
  6. 6 Islamic Azad University, TehranIran 24 works
  7. 7 Vellore Institute of Technology UniversityIndia 24 works
  8. 8 Telkom UniversityIndonesia 22 works
  9. 9 Centre National de la Recherche ScientifiqueFrance 22 works
  10. 10 Christ UniversityIndia 22 works

Who are the leading researchers in Forecasting Techniques and Applications?

The most-cited researchers publishing on Forecasting Techniques and Applications include Douglas G. Altman, Yoshua Bengio and Robert John Tibshirani.

  1. 1 Douglas G. Altman United Kingdom 862k citations
  2. 2 Yoshua Bengio Canada 476k citations
  3. 3 Robert John Tibshirani United States 396k citations
  4. 4 Daniel J. Kahneman United States 395k citations
  5. 5 Amos Tversky United States 327k citations
  6. 6 John P. A. Ioannidis United States 317k citations
  7. 7 Donald B. Rubin United States 301k citations
  8. 8 Trevor Hastie United States 301k citations
  9. 9 Ralph B. D’Agostino United States 255k citations
  10. 10 Andrei Shleifer United States 234k citations

Ranked by citations received across their whole record, among researchers with at least three works on this topic.

What are the most cited papers in Forecasting Techniques and Applications?

The most cited paper in Forecasting Techniques and Applications is "Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases" (Amos Tversky, Daniel J. Kahneman, 1974), with 28,737 citations. Next come "A Statistical Distribution Function of Wide Applicability" (11,600) and "Random effects structure for confirmatory hypothesis testing: Keep it maximal" (10,749).

Most cited papers
#PaperReleasedCitations
1 Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases Amos Tversky, Daniel J. Kahneman · Science 27 Sep 1974 28,737
2 A Statistical Distribution Function of Wide Applicability Waloddi Weibull · Journal of Applied Mechanics Sep 1951 11,600
3 Random effects structure for confirmatory hypothesis testing: Keep it maximal Dale J. Barr, Roger Lévy, Christoph Scheepers et al. · Journal of Memory and Language Open access 3 Jan 2013 10,749
4 Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation Tilmann Gneiting, Adrian E. Raftery · Journal of the American Statistical Association 4 Feb 2007 5,828
5 Another look at measures of forecast accuracy Rob J. Hyndman, Anne B. Koehler · International Journal of Forecasting 25 May 2006 5,682
All 97 most cited papers, with filters and sorting

Where is Forecasting Techniques and Applications research done?

The largest centres of Forecasting Techniques and Applications research in 2022-now are Beijing (China), Chennai (India), Shanghai (China) and Surabaya (Indonesia). Among places with at least 20 works in it, it is an unusually large share of all research in Greater Noida.

Largest cities, 2022-now

  1. 1 BeijingChina 200 works
  2. 2 ChennaiIndia 117 works
  3. 3 ShanghaiChina 98 works
  4. 4 SurabayaIndonesia 91 works
  5. 5 JakartaIndonesia 88 works
  6. 6 PuneIndia 69 works
  7. 7 BengaluruIndia 67 works
  8. 8 BandungIndonesia 64 works
  9. 9 NanjingChina 58 works
  10. 10 LondonUnited Kingdom 56 works

Where it is the local speciality

  1. Greater NoidaIN · 24.2 works5.4×
← less than its size predicts1×more →

Location quotient: how much more of its research is in Forecasting Techniques and Applications than the world average.

See Forecasting Techniques and Applications on the map

Where is the best place to study Forecasting Techniques and Applications?

Among universities, judged by research, North Carolina State University, SRM Institute of Science and Technology and Binus University score highest, combining excellence, specialisation, size, growth and international reach. Research strength is one signal when choosing where to study; it does not measure teaching.

0%25%50%75%mean 19.17%fractional works in this field (log) →share of work in the world top 10% →North Carolina State…SRM Institute of Sci…Sepuluh Nopember Ins…Binus University
above the meannear itbelow it

One dot per university in the first ten of the table below, at the default weights. The upper left is the interesting corner: small places doing unusually strong work.

Excellenceshare of its work in the world top 10%, 2022-now and all time averaged
40%
Specialisationhow much of its work is in this field, counted up to 10× the world share
10%
Sizeits output in this field, on a log scale
30%
Growthoutput growth, counted from -20% to +20%
10%
Internationalshare of its work with a co-author abroad
10%
Each slider sets a weight; the share it gets of the score is beside it.
#UniversityScoreTop 10%SpecialisationWorksGrowth
1North Carolina State UniversityUnited States 72.371.4%4.5×15 +162.1%
2SRM Institute of Science and TechnologyIndia 54.36.0%6.2×39 +1042.9%
3Binus UniversityIndonesia 53.94.3%10.9×37 +301.5%
4Sepuluh Nopember Institute of TechnologyIndonesia 52.15.6%12.4×33 +62.1%
5National Technical University of AthensGreece 50.641.1%5.7×9 +33.4%
6Hong Kong Polytechnic UniversityChina 50.125.3%2.2×12 +73.2%
7Symbiosis International UniversityIndia 48.310.3%10.1×21 +388.0%
8Vellore Institute of Technology UniversityIndia 47.110.1%4.0×24 +153.3%
9Chandigarh UniversityIndia 46.414.3%5.6×19 +1316.3%
10Saveetha UniversityIndia 46.23.3%5.7×34 -

Universities only. The score blends excellence (40%), size (30%), specialisation (10%), growth (10%), international reach (10%), 2022-now; growth compares 2018-21 with 2022-25 and counts up to +20%, since a jump from a small base is mostly noise.

Every institution in Forecasting Techniques and Applications, country by country

Is Forecasting Techniques and Applications research growing?

Output in 2022-2025 was 77% higher than in 2018-2021, peaking in 2025. The fastest-growing topics are Forecasting Techniques and Applications.

still counting19801990200020102020
grewheldshrank

The same series as a ribbon: one cell per year, darker for more. The line above answers how much; this answers when.

Its share of all research

Growing output can still be a shrinking share: all of science grows. This is Forecasting Techniques and Applications as a percentage of every work published that year, 0.030% in 2024.

still counting0.020%0.040%Forecasting Techniques and Applications0.036% in 202519801990200020102020

Fractional works of Forecasting Techniques and Applications over all fractional works that year. How the balance of science has shifted.

How much of it reaches the world top 10%

Year by year.

still counting5%10%15%Forecasting Techniques and Applications10.3% in 2025200020102020

Of each year's works in it, the share that reached the world's 10% most cited for their field and year. A field is the world for its own topics, so there is no other line to hold it against.

Which topics inside it are moving

Growth and decline on one axis around a shared zero. Two lists side by side hide the thing that matters: whether the growth dwarfs the decline, or the other way round.

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